In an opinion poll, the Greens have overtaken the SPD for the first time in almost a year. According to the current Insa opinion trend for the “Bild” (Wednesday edition), the Greens gain one percentage point compared to the previous week and now come to 21.5 percent. The SPD, on the other hand, loses two percentage points and ends up with 20 percent.

The Union remains at the top with 27 percent, the FDP gains one point and comes to 9.5 percent. The AfD (10.5 percent) improved by half a point, the left remained at 3.5 percent.

In the Insa opinion trend, the Greens were last ahead of the SPD on July 19, 2021. The traffic light coalition has a majority of 51 percent of the vote, but it is led by the Greens.

The CDU/CSU would be able to nominate the chancellor both in a coalition with the SPD, which together would get 47 percent, and in a coalition with the Greens, which together would get 48.5 percent. Both Union-led coalitions would have clear parliamentary majorities.

“In no conceivable constellation could the SPD lead the government after elections,” said Insa boss Hermann Binkert of “Bild”. “If the SPD loses its position as the strongest party left of center, the statics of the current traffic light coalition will change and that will endanger its existence in the long term.”

A total of 2055 citizens were interviewed for the survey from June 3rd to 7th, 2022. Insa specifies the maximum statistical error tolerance as +/- 2.5 percentage points.