the Officer who, the program Director of emergency health Michael Ryan publicly shared his doubts about the low mortality rate from coronavirus in Russia. How is it that test so much is being done, the patients revealed a lot, and deaths for the entire period of the pandemic is only 6 thousand 829 people?! 17 times less than in America, 6 times less than in the UK or Brazil, and 5 times less than in Italy. Well, this can not be! Does not fit some in mind that the Russian health system in a situation of a pandemic to cope much better than in countries that consider themselves more developed, rich and advanced.
Here digging graves for the future, in serried ranks along the suburban routes. Roberto Silva, 47-year-old resident of Sao Paulo, died after a week in the hospital. Roberto died that day in Brazil was recorded 1349 deaths: the country ranks second after the US in absolute number of deaths from the virus.
But the main indicator, which argue that the differences in which are trying unsuccessfully to explain in the world, is the index of lethality. Why in Russia it is from 1.5 to 2.5% according to different estimates, while in Britain, for example, is 14%? Rosstat, not trying to answer this global question, which ever after will understand the scientists, explained: the main thing for us is based on what Russian statistics.
“Experts from the healthcare sector have done a lot of hard work, and I nowhere in the world have never seen such detailed statistics. The main role here was developed in our country the system of postmortem examination. Thanks to this we can give such detailed and accurate data, — said the head of the Federal service of state statistics Pavel Malkov. — In Moscow in April died just 11 834 is 19.5% more than a year ago. Of these, 636 cases of coronavirus confirmed as basethe first cause of death. 169 cases — coronavirus is the main cause of death. 360 cases — coronavirus infection significantly influenced the development of deadly complications”.
the Autopsy we have done almost 100% of cases. This slows down the process of collecting statistical data, but increases their accuracy.
the Russian statistics are actually very transparent, especially if you know how experts work and how I think. All fatal cases of coronavirus are divided into categories. First category: the coronavirus is the main cause of death, no doubt no doctors. The second category: the coronavirus — related cause of death. This means the infection has launched some other illness that led to death. Third group: coronavirus not associated with the approach of death. For example, a person was seriously injured, she died, and then he found another coronavirus. And yet there is one sub — coronavirus is regarded as the main reason, but the final result yet.
the April Data, they are the most accurate. The delay in counting occur around the world, and sometimes these figures are simply not available. In Norway the mortality statistics published with a two-week delay in US delay reaches 8 weeks. In Russia April was the first month, when the epidemic started to significantly affect mortality in some regions.
“Every region of late joined in the epidemic process. We see the APR higher mortality rates for Moscow and the Moscow region. St. Petersburg and several other regions. And more-less traditional measures of mortality, with some variations — for other constituent entities of the Russian Federation. But this April, when Russia, one might say, faced in full with the coronavirus, has faced from the point of view of what we began to lose human lives just because of the diagnosis COVID-19″—said Tatyana Golikova, the Deputy Prime Minister.
the Main attack the virus struck in may. Hit it mainly in Moscow. The mayor of Moscow Sergey Sobyanin announced the latest data for the entire period of the epidemic: “Died in Moscow 5200 with a small people. A big figure. Pathologists analyzed every death, every patient without exception. Got a fairly objective picture. I hope that in the month of June, the mortality will be much lower.”
In the Moscow region is now seeing a decrease in mortality and severe cases of the disease.
“506 people have died in may, unfortunately. 900 — this is unconfirmed, but all the symptoms were. And more, plus 200 is a timeline, where the coronavirus has affected all this time saved 35 thousand lives”, — said Governor of Moscow region Andrei Vorobyov.
And here is what the experts of the world health organization, which analyzed the situation in Russia from within the entire period of the pandemic.
“a Huge testing capabilities in the country allowed Russia to have a very good big picture understanding of what is happening with the epidemic. These figures of course reflect the real picture. In any case, who has no claims to the Russian Federation, with regard to the statistics on mortality,” said Melita Vujnović, the official who representative in Russia.
the key to learning any illness — case fatality rate. In the case of coronavirus, he will long be corrected and clarified. Here’s the leaders at the moment, according to the University of Hopkins: Belgium, the mortality rate was 16.1 per cent, France — 15,2, Italy — 14.5 UK — 14,1, USA is 5.6. Canada 8.2 Percent, Germany At 4.7. Russia is 1.5.
“Russia mobilized. The time was some. Italy early sick. America is not mobilized,” — said Viktor Maleyev, academician of RAS, Advisor to the Director for science, Central research Institute of eepidemiologii of the CPS.
In the USA — more than 100 thousand deaths at the moment, every day are killed nearly a thousand patients. Infectious disease specialists here talking seriously about the beginning of the second wave of the pandemic: “do we See the second wave now or a continuation of the first, not very important. Most importantly — we see more cases, more hospitalizations and about thousands of Americans dying every day from the coronavirus”.
In Russia, the rapid rise in incidence began in late March. Now he was reduced 16 times. The epidemic subsides, say the doctors. But then specify: ahead doctors will have a tough time. It is called the “tail” of the epidemic, when unfolding struggle for life most severe patients remaining in the hospitals.
And here is the latest data of Rosstat. In Russia in April were born 110 934, died 149 468 people. Overall no deaths from coronavirus, and from all causes combined have fallen by almost 3%. Here, experts believe, triggered the trend for the last 9 years, during which annually reduces the overall mortality and increasing life expectancy.
Text: “News of the week”
